Search results for "Credit crunch"
showing 10 items of 10 documents
Credit Demand and Supply Shocks in Italy During the Great Recession
2018
In this paper, we use Structural VAR analysis to disentangle credit demand and supply shocks and their eFFect on real economic activity in Italy during the 2008-2014 crisis period. The three endogenous variables considered are the loan interest rate, the loans growth rate and the employment to population ratio. The data are observed at annual frequency for each of 103 Italian provinces. The structural shocks are identified through heteroscedasticity, by letting the variance of the shocks to switch across four Italian macro-regions: North, Centre, South and Islands. Sign restrictions are used to interpret ex post the structural shocks. The empirical findings suggest a more important role of …
Il credito alle imprese nell’attuale congiuntura economico-finanziaria: dinamiche di mercato e scelte organizzative bancarie
2014
This paper aims to examine the underlying causes of the sharp reduction in bank lending, which in turn is highlighting some structural weaknesses of Italian firms and financial system. The structure of this paper is as follows. Section 1 introduces the paper. Section 2 analyzes some drivers of the bank loans market in the current financial crisis. Section 3 examines the increasing role of standardized bank lending practices that have enlarged the organizational and strategic differences between transaction-based lending and relationship-based lending. Section 4 concludes.
Household Leverage and Fiscal Multipliers
2011
We study the size of fiscal multipliers in response to a government spending shock under different household leverage conditions in a general equilibrium setting with search and matching frictions. We allow for different levels of household indebtedness by changing the intensive margin of borrowing (loan-to-value ratio), as well as the extensive margin, defined as the number of borrowers over total population. The interaction between the consumption decisions of agents with limited access to credit and the process of wage bargaining and vacancy posting delivers two main results: (a) higher initial leverage makes it more likely to find output multipliers higher than one; and (b) a positive g…
Household Debt and Fiscal Multipliers
2015
We study the size of government spending multipliers in a general equilibrium model with search and matching frictions in which we allow for different levels of household indebtedness. The main results of the paper are: (a) the presence of impatient households and private debt helps generate government spending multipliers greater than 1; (b) as financial conditions worsen and impatient consumers find it more difficult to borrow (i.e. in a credit crunch), the size of the government spending multiplier falls; (c) conversely, employment, vacancies and unemployment multipliers are larger when access to credit becomes more difficult; and (d) the model explains the observed pattern of responses …
Banca e credito nel rapporto con le imprese: note finali.
2016
In questo capitolo vengono tracciate le conclusioni di questo percorso di ricerca. Il volume è rivolto ad un pubblico di studenti, imprenditori, manager, professionisti e personale bancario, e intende porsi come uno contributo conoscitivo utile alla comprensione delle linee evolutive dei rapporti creditizi banca-impresa, in un contesto istituzionale e competitivo caratterizzato da una crescente complessità tecnica ed operativa dell’attività creditizia, da un’incessante innovazione finanziaria, da una continua evoluzione della tecnologia informatica e telematica, e dalla complessa armonizzazione e unificazione della regolamentazione e vigilanza dell’industria bancaria europea.
Is There a Credit Risk Anomaly in FX Markets?
2015
This paper explores whether a link between sovereign credit ratings and currency returns exists. Perhaps contrary to expectations, it finds that currencies of countries with higher credit risk tend to generate lower returns than those with a lower credit risk. The credit risk spread cannot be explained by standard risk factors.
Risk Management Era in European Credit Institutions: Predictable Mutation in XXI Century
2014
Abstract In the market economy, globalization, liberalization and diversification of financial markets, fierce competition between the credit institutions and many of the products and services offered by them are the main factors that have exposed the banking sector to new risks, while leading to multiple challenges. For these reasons it is becoming increasingly important both permanent innovation and risk management techniques tools as well as banking performance. Only a pertinent analysis and a very good knowledge of the new tendencies in banking financial risk management can provide credit institutions in Romania efficient options on their use of management, while obtaining a higher prof…
Emerging Markets and the Global Financial Crisis
2010
Over the 1990s, crises developed in emerging markets and, while they did send shockwaves across the world, their effects were perceived mostly by other emerging markets.1 The domestic and international policy recommendations that followed focused on strategies to reduce this instability, seen as a threat to the world economy. At the end of the 2000s, the world seems to have gone upside down. The 2008/2009 global financial crisis started earlier in 2007 with a sharp rise in defaults on sub-prime mortgages in one of the most advanced nations, the US, and quickly spread through the interbank market to become an international credit and liquidity squeeze. The credit crisis involved other indust…
A simple model of income, aggregate demand and the process of credit creation by private banks
2013
This paper presents a small macroeconomic model describing the main mechanisms of the process of creation by the private banking system. The model is composed of a core unit-where the dynamics of income, credit and aggregate demand are determined-and a set of sectoral accounts that ensure its stock-flow consistency. In order to grasp the role of credit and banks on the functioning of the economic system we make an explicit distinction between planned and realized variables, thanks to which, while maintaining the ex-post accounting consistency, we are able to introduce an ex-ante wedge between current aggregate income and planned expenditure. Private banks are the only economic agents capabl…
The Impact of Credit on Economic Growth in the Global Crisis Context
2013
Abstract Is there a connection between credit and economic growth in the present economic context? Credit was one of the factors which triggered the global crisis, thus, in the present paper we attempt to show whether there is a connection between credit and economic growth, the economy being unable to develop in the absence of credit. With the aid of a statistic software we have tried to determine the supposed existence of a connection between the GDP, credits offered to public administration and credits offered to households. The results of the analysis show that credits offered to households contribute to a greater extent to the formation of the GDP than credits offered to public adminis…